Tropical system could develop off Florida or the US Southeast, forecasters say

Robin Webb, South Florida Sun-Sentinel on Jun 28, 2026

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Experts with the National Hurricane Center are watching for potential tropical development from an area of low pressure that is forecast to emerge over the Atlantic Ocean off Florida or the U.S. Southeast coast.

The disturbance could develop later this week as it drifts west and interacts with a frontal boundary, experts said.

“This is a typical scenario for June when fronts from the north still make it far enough south to encounter warm enough water to transition the system into a tropical depression or tropical storm,” expert Bryan Norcross wrote on his Hurricane Intel blog.

As of Sunday, it has a 20% chance of developing within seven days, according to the National Hurricane Center. Chances of development will decrease as the week draws to a close.

Tropical Storm Arthur, the season’s first named storm, emerged off of the Texas Gulf coast in mid-June.

The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season is forecast to remain “below normal,” with experts at Colorado State University recently predicting a total of 11 named storms, including five hurricanes and two major hurricanes.

This is due, in large part, to expectations of a strong El Niño, which traditionally hinders storm development.

The next named storm to form would be Bertha.

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